Sensitivity to Changes in Discretionary Spending "Fiscal year" "Baseline, with -5% spending" "Baseline" "Baseline, with +5% spending" "Alternative, with -5% spending" "Alternative" "Alternative, with +5% spending" 2019 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 2020 99.7% 100.1% 100.5% 99.5% 99.8% 100.2% 2021 101.6% 102.3% 103.1% 101.7% 102.4% 103.2% 2022 100.9% 102.0% 103.1% 101.3% 102.4% 103.5% 2023 100.6% 102.0% 103.4% 101.3% 102.6% 104.0% 2024 99.8% 101.4% 103.1% 100.7% 102.3% 104.0% 2025 99.3% 101.2% 103.1% 100.5% 102.4% 104.3% 2026 98.7% 100.9% 103.0% 100.6% 102.8% 105.0% 2027 98.6% 101.0% 103.4% 101.8% 104.2% 106.6% 2028 99.6% 102.2% 104.9% 104.0% 106.7% 109.3% 2029 100.3% 103.2% 106.1% 105.9% 108.8% 111.7% 2030 101.8% 105.0% 108.1% 108.8% 111.9% 115.1% 2031 103.8% 107.2% 110.6% 110.8% 114.2% 117.6% 2032 105.8% 109.4% 113.1% 113.1% 116.7% 120.3% 2033 108.2% 112.1% 116.0% 115.9% 119.7% 123.6% 2034 110.9% 115.0% 119.1% 119.1% 123.2% 127.3% 2035 113.9% 118.2% 122.6% 122.7% 127.1% 131.5% 2036 117.2% 121.8% 126.4% 126.8% 131.5% 136.2% 2037 120.7% 125.6% 130.4% 131.3% 136.3% 141.3% 2038 124.4% 129.5% 134.6% 136.0% 141.3% 146.6% 2039 128.2% 133.6% 138.9% 141.1% 146.7% 152.3% 2040 132.2% 137.8% 143.4% 146.4% 152.4% 158.3% 2041 136.2% 142.1% 148.0% 151.9% 158.2% 164.5% 2042 140.3% 146.5% 152.7% 157.8% 164.4% 171.0% 2043 144.5% 150.9% 157.4% 163.6% 170.6% 177.6% 2044 148.7% 155.4% 162.1% 169.4% 176.8% 184.1% 2045 153.0% 160.0% 167.0% 175.4% 183.2% 190.9% 2046 157.4% 164.7% 171.9% 181.5% 189.5% 197.6% 2047 161.9% 169.4% 177.0% 187.6% 196.1% 204.5% 2048 166.5% 174.4% 182.3% 194.0% 202.8% 211.7% 2049 171.4% 179.6% 187.8% 200.6% 209.8% 219.0% 2050 176.3% 184.8% 193.2% 207.2% 216.8% 226.4% 2051 181.2% 190.0% 198.8% 213.8% 223.8% 233.8% 2052 186.1% 195.2% 204.3% 220.5% 230.9% 241.3% 2053 191.1% 200.5% 209.9% 227.2% 238.0% 248.8% 2054 196.1% 205.8% 215.5% 234.0% 245.1% 256.3% 2055 201.2% 211.2% 221.2% 240.8% 252.3% 263.9% 2056 206.3% 216.6% 226.9% 247.6% 259.6% 271.5% 2057 211.4% 222.1% 232.7% 254.5% 266.8% 279.2% 2058 216.6% 227.6% 238.5% 261.4% 274.1% 286.9% 2059 221.8% 233.1% 244.4% 268.4% 281.5% 294.6% 2060 227.1% 238.7% 250.3% 275.4% 288.9% 302.4% 2061 232.6% 244.5% 256.4% 282.6% 296.6% 310.5% 2062 238.2% 250.5% 262.7% 290.0% 304.4% 318.7% 2063 243.9% 256.5% 269.0% 297.5% 312.3% 327.0% 2064 249.7% 262.5% 275.4% 305.0% 320.2% 335.4% 2065 255.5% 268.7% 281.9% 312.6% 328.2% 343.8% 2066 261.3% 274.9% 288.4% 320.3% 336.3% 352.3% 2067 267.3% 281.1% 295.0% 328.0% 344.4% 360.9% 2068 273.3% 287.5% 301.7% 335.8% 352.6% 369.5% 2069 279.3% 293.9% 308.4% 343.6% 360.9% 378.2% 2070 285.4% 300.3% 315.2% 351.5% 369.3% 387.0% 2071 291.6% 306.8% 322.1% 359.5% 377.7% 395.8% 2072 297.9% 313.4% 329.0% 367.6% 386.2% 404.7% 2073 304.2% 320.1% 336.0% 375.7% 394.7% 413.7% 2074 310.6% 326.8% 343.0% 383.9% 403.3% 422.7% 2075 316.8% 333.3% 349.9% 391.8% 411.7% 431.5% 2076 323.0% 339.8% 356.7% 399.7% 420.0% 440.3% 2077 329.2% 346.4% 363.6% 407.6% 428.3% 449.0% 2078 335.4% 352.9% 370.5% 415.6% 436.7% 457.8% 2079 341.7% 359.5% 377.4% 423.6% 445.1% 466.6% 2080 347.9% 366.1% 384.4% 431.6% 453.5% 475.5% 2081 354.2% 372.8% 391.3% 439.6% 462.0% 484.4% 2082 360.6% 379.4% 398.3% 447.6% 470.4% 493.2% 2083 366.9% 386.1% 405.3% 455.7% 478.9% 502.1% 2084 373.2% 392.8% 412.3% 463.8% 487.4% 511.0% 2085 379.6% 399.4% 419.3% 471.8% 495.9% 520.0% 2086 385.9% 406.1% 426.3% 479.9% 504.4% 528.9% 2087 392.3% 412.8% 433.4% 488.0% 512.9% 537.8% 2088 398.6% 419.5% 440.4% 496.0% 521.4% 546.7% 2089 405.0% 426.2% 447.4% 504.1% 529.9% 555.7% 2090 411.4% 432.9% 454.5% 512.2% 538.4% 564.7% 2091 417.8% 439.7% 461.6% 520.3% 547.0% 573.6% 2092 424.2% 446.4% 468.7% 528.5% 555.6% 582.7% 2093 430.6% 453.2% 475.8% 536.7% 564.2% 591.7% 2094 437.4% 460.4% 483.3% 545.2% 573.2% 601.2% URL: https://www.gao.gov/americas-fiscal-future/fiscal-outlook | Last updated: 03/19/2021